Premier League 2010/11 Week 28

¦ Odds

Chelsea beat Man Utd 2-1 as predicted at Stamford Bridge and Wolves make a bid for freedom from the relegation spots by destroying Blackpool 4-0.

GameWeek 28		Team	Form (last3)	Form (Season)	Home/ Away bias	Correct Score	1X2	Asian Handicap	Result
26.2.11	H	AstonVilla	5	5	NEUTRAL	2	1	Villa-0.5	4
26.2.11	A	Blackburn	5	3	POOR	0	1	Villa-0.5	1
Pre-Match Comments	Villa Park is slowly regaining its reputation as a difficult place to visit as the Aston Villa side grow in confidence again. Blackburn are experiencing mixed results with a negative recent trend, but the actual quality of performance shown by them has been holding up, although they suffer away from home. Expect Villa to gain the upper hand in this one.
26.2.11	H	Everton	4	6	NEUTRAL	2	1	Everton-0.5	2
26.2.11	A	Sunderland	4	6	NEUTRAL	1	1	Everton-0.5	0
Pre-Match Comments	Everton's gradual climb back up the table has been stuttering and will face another test against the Black Cats. Sunderland have lost their last three games and must turn their form into points to get back into a European spot again. Both teams seem evenly poised with the spoils likely to go to the hosts, or possibly be split.
26.2.11	H	Newcastle	6	9	NEUTRAL	1	x	Bolton+0.25	1
26.2.11	A	Bolton	9	7	POOR	1	x	Bolton+0.25	1
Pre-Match Comments	Bolton have made a slight return to form, although not a totally convincing one. Newcastle have been holding their own, and their performances are less erratic than earlier in the season. This match will see another two teams who are difficult to split when the home and away form is taken into consideration. Bolton should have the impetus to get the winner but their low scoring rate makes that an unsteady prediction.
26.2.11	H	Wigan	2	1	POOR	1	x	Wigan+1	0
26.2.11	A	Man Utd	8	10	STRONG	1	x	Wigan+1	4
Pre-Match Comments	Manchester United are certainly handicapped without Rio Ferdinand and face Wigan (and Chelsea next Tuesday) away from home. This comes on the back of an away trip in Europe midweek, so there should be value on the asian handicap bet for the home side. Wigan are fighting an early battle against relegation and will call on all their reserves to earn a point here.
26.2.11	H	Wolves	1	5	STRONG	2	1	Wolves-0.75	4
26.2.11	A	Blackpool	4	9	NEUTRAL	1	1	Wolves-0.75	0
Pre-Match Comments	Wolves have an impressive home record and will look to take advantage of Blackpool missing Charlie Adam at Molineux. This is a must-win match if Wolves are to stay in the top division next year, so expect full commitment from the home side. Blackpool's resilience will be tested with this match and another loss would result in a rush of bets on their relegation.
27.2.11	H	WestHam	6	2	POOR	0	2	Liverpool-0.25	3
27.2.11	A	Liverpool	9	1	NEUTRAL	1	2	Liverpool-0.25	1
Pre-Match Comments	Liverpool's bounce back to form continues and should be too much for the Hammers. The home side have improved but can still disappoint in a big way - it's difficult to know which side will turn out. The Liverpool squad has improved self-belief and the recent Europa Cup win will give them a further boost. Expect Liverpool to lock it down if they go ahead early in the match.
27.2.11	H	Man City	6	4	STRONG	1	1	City-0.75	1
27.2.11	A	Fulham	7	8	NEUTRAL	0	1	City-0.75	1
Pre-Match Comments	Back to league duty for City, who have played 3 cup games over the past two weeks and not conceded a goal, scoring eight. Their form is good and this looks like the odds on the home side are just about justified. Fulham are consistent and have improved their away form - they certainly won't be pushovers but City should have too much for them.
28.2.11	H	Stoke	3	3	STRONG	2	1	Stoke-0.5	1
28.2.11	A	WestBrom	2	4	VERY POOR	1	1	Stoke-0.5	1
Pre-Match Comments	Stoke's home form will be called on to keep them up this season. West Brom would like to call on their away form to get them out of trouble, but unfortunately it's only earned them eight points from 13 games. Stoke are confident at home and should have the edge in this game.
1.3.11	H	Chelsea	7	7	V STRONG	2	1	Chelsea-0.25	2
1.3.11	A	Man Utd	8	10	STRONG	1	1	Chelsea-0.25	1
Pre-Match Comments	The big game of the week, although not as big a game as it would've been had Chelsea been fighting for the top spot. The lack of pressure now on Chelsea gives them a golden opportunity to claim United's scalp. Man Utd will have played on Saturday, and if they have a rough time as predicted then could also struggle in this away game, particularly without Rio.
Form is calculated by rating all player and team performances. Home/ Away bias indicates the strength of a team's previous performances at their home ground or away from home.

See team ratings at http://www.bethawk.com/team-ratings

ODDS

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Bethawk 2010,11

7	1.10.10	Wigan	Wolves	Wigan-0.25	4	2.02	Win	4.08	Wigan have been hot and cold this season, but improved from their poor opening matches. The two differing styles of play will battle for supremacy and that could work in Wigan's favour as Wolves tend to pick up cards. The game could be tight but favour Wigan.
7	1.10.10	Birmingham	Everton	Birmingham+0.25	3.5	1.85	Lose	-3.5	This match looks like being low scoring. Given that Birmingham haven't lost at home for a year, a positive handicap for the home team at the displayed odds is a bonus. Everton have the edge on paper but playing at St. Andrews this match should be all square or tilt towards the home side. Low weight because of Birmingham's unconvincing start to the season.
7	1.10.10	Stoke	Blackburn	Stoke 0	5	1.6	Win	3	Stoke are a solid unit, slightly weakened by the absence of Fuller, but still equal to the visitors. Blackburn have had an OK start to this season and will be up for a physical match.
7	1.10.10	Sunderland	Man Utd	Sunderland +1	4	1.6	Win	2.4	A large handicap here for the home side at decent odds. Whilst United have been showing signs of hitting top form, they have just played away in Europe and have a squad with injuries. Sunderland are currently on a roll and will provide ManUtd with a tough game.
7	1.10.10	Tottenham	AstonVilla	Tottenham	3.5	1.9	Win	3.15	Spurs are continuing to confirm that they are a part of the top 6. Were it not for the fact that they played midweek, this bet would've been 6 or more points on the home win. Villa are settling under Houlier and have a good squad, however this would be a test in any circumstances.
7	1.10.10	WestBrom	Bolton	WestBrom-0.25	3	1.83	Lose Half	-1.5	WestBrom have impressed so far and the match could become a decent game with Bolton also playing attractive football. The factors in this game cancel each other out, with the home advantage and momentum of last week's win at Arsenal being enough to balance Bolton's superior side.
7	1.10.10	WestHam	Fulham	WestHam-0.25	4	2.08	Lose Half	-2	Fulham's lack of attack means they could be hoping for just a point at the Boleyn. The Hammers have sprung back and will fancy this London derby - the home support could be the deciding factor if enough momentum can be built. Low-ish weighting as the jury is still out.
7	2.10.10	Man City	Newcastle	ManCity-1	7	1.78	Level	0	Man City might have palyed midweek but their momentum and quality will be too much for the visitors. Newcastle have been inconsistent, but would require an amazinf performance to get any points from this match.
7	2.10.10	Liverpool	Blackpool	Liverpool-1.5	2	2	Lose	-2	Liverpool have stumbled a few times this season and will take more time to crystalise into a dependable squad. Blackpool are capable of an upset but the most likely outcome is a more perdictable scoreline in favour of the hosts
7	2.10.10	Chelsea	Arsenal	Chelsea	5	1.75	Win	3.75	Chelsea and Arsenal are both on form, recording wins in their Champions League matches and sitting at/ near the top in the league. Arsenal have some defensive issues which will further disadvantage them. The big match (and derby) feel will level the teams slghtly, meaning that Arsenal could take advantage of decisions and opportunities going their way, but all indicators point to this being a home win.

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Bethawk Results

Premier League 2010/11 Week 28

ODDS

7

1.10.10

Wigan

Wolves

Wigan-0.25

4

2.02

Win

4.08

Wigan have been hot and cold this season, but improved from their poor opening matches. The two differing styles of play will battle for supremacy and that could work in Wigan's favour as Wolves tend to pick up cards. The game could be tight but favour Wigan.

7

1.10.10

Birmingham

Everton

Birmingham+0.25

3.5

1.85

Lose

-3.5

7

1.10.10

Stoke

Blackburn

Stoke 0

5

1.6

Win

3

Stoke are a solid unit, slightly weakened by the absence of Fuller, but still equal to the visitors. Blackburn have had an OK start to this season and will be up for a physical match.

7

1.10.10

Sunderland

Man Utd

Sunderland +1

4

1.6

Win

2.4

A large handicap here for the home side at decent odds. Whilst United have been showing signs of hitting top form, they have just played away in Europe and have a squad with injuries. Sunderland are currently on a roll and will provide ManUtd with a tough game.

7

1.10.10

Tottenham

AstonVilla

Tottenham

3.5

1.9

Win

3.15

Spurs are continuing to confirm that they are a part of the top 6. Were it not for the fact that they played midweek, this bet would've been 6 or more points on the home win. Villa are settling under Houlier and have a good squad, however this would be a test in any circumstances.

7

1.10.10

WestBrom

Bolton

WestBrom-0.25

3

1.83

Lose Half

-1.5

WestBrom have impressed so far and the match could become a decent game with Bolton also playing attractive football. The factors in this game cancel each other out, with the home advantage and momentum of last week's win at Arsenal being enough to balance Bolton's superior side.

7

1.10.10

WestHam

Fulham

WestHam-0.25

4

2.08

Lose Half

-2

Fulham's lack of attack means they could be hoping for just a point at the Boleyn. The Hammers have sprung back and will fancy this London derby - the home support could be the deciding factor if enough momentum can be built. Low-ish weighting as the jury is still out.

7

2.10.10

Man City

Newcastle

ManCity-1

7

1.78